Before All the Votes Get Counted

I made a few predictions on the flight home. Since that time, others have made some similar insinuations that I thought I would point out.

1 - Edwards a distant third - while the last Des Moines Register poll confirms that thought, Novak predicts Hillary will end up a distant third.

2 - Richardson will surprise and beat expectations - I am still the only one I see saying that

3 - Obama will win by a slim 2 points - the Des Moines Register poll has him at 7 points outside the margin of error. Some pundits discount the poll and still think it is close, but Obama may have made a significant move. Readers of Ground Game should not be surprised.

4 - Fred will drop out of the race after New Hampshire - Ground Game's friend (sort of), Jonathan Martin, now suggests that Fred could drop out even sooner depending on how Iowa turns out for him

5 - Romney will win by 6-8% - The Novak article agrees with me. The Des Moines Register poll as well as the recent Zogby poll still have Huckabee leading. But my money is on Dale and his new friends getting their 50 supporters a piece and delivering a big win.